Evidence Base

Research & Data

Missing Persons is built on peer-reviewed science. This is the evidence behind every claim in the film.

Neuroscience

The Brain Under Confinement

Harvard University

Hippocampal Shrinkage in Extreme Isolation Environments

Dr. Robert Kinscherff et al.

Studying researchers stationed in Antarctic winter-over conditions, this work documents measurable reduction in hippocampal volume — the brain region responsible for memory, spatial reasoning, and stress regulation — after extended periods of isolation and monotony.

Key Finding Hippocampal gray matter volume decreased significantly in subjects experiencing prolonged isolation — consistent with findings in solitary confinement studies.
Thomas Jefferson University

BDNF Suppression Under Chronic Stress Conditions

Dr. Richard Smeyne et al.

Laboratory studies mapping the relationship between environmental stress and brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) production. When chronic stress is sustained, BDNF drops precipitously — halting the neural plasticity and repair that allow the brain to adapt and recover.

Key Finding Chronic environmental stress mimicking carceral conditions reduces BDNF by up to 40%, directly impairing the brain's capacity for growth, learning, and emotional regulation.
Stanford University

Stress, Glucocorticoids, and Permanent Neural Damage

Dr. Robert Sapolsky

Decades of research into the neurobiology of stress demonstrate that sustained glucocorticoid exposure — the hormonal signature of chronic stress — causes direct damage to hippocampal neurons and undermines the prefrontal cortex's capacity for executive function and impulse control.

Key Finding Environments that generate sustained stress — including prisons — produce measurable and lasting neurological harm that standard post-release support does nothing to address.
Solitary Confinement Research Consortium

Psychological Effects of Solitary Confinement: A Systematic Review

Multiple institutions

A comprehensive review of over 60 studies on the psychological effects of solitary confinement, documenting rates of anxiety, depression, hallucination, self-harm, and cognitive deterioration among incarcerated people held in isolation units.

Key Finding More than 70% of people held in solitary confinement for periods exceeding 15 days display symptoms consistent with serious psychological harm, including dissociation and perceptual disturbances.
Comparative Analysis

Isolation Across Environments

What happens to people in Antarctica, space, prison, and military confinement — and what the parallels reveal.

Environment Duration Primary Stressors Observed Brain Changes Key Researcher
Antarctica (Winter-Over) 8–14 months Sensory monotony, social constriction, darkness, confinement Hippocampal shrinkage, reduced spatial cognition, elevated cortisol Dr. Kinscherff, Harvard
Space (ISS / Long Duration) 6–12+ months Microgravity, isolation, loss of autonomy, distance from family Cognitive slowing, emotional dysregulation, identity disruption Dr. P. Johnson, NASA
Prison (General Population) Months to decades Chronic threat, loss of agency, social deprivation, sensory stress BDNF suppression, PTSD, executive function impairment, hypervigilance Sapolsky; Smeyne
Solitary Confinement Days to years Extreme sensory deprivation, total social isolation, loss of identity Hallucinations, dissociation, self-harm, permanent psychological damage Multiple (Haney; Smith)
Military Confinement (POW) Weeks to years Fear, physical stress, unpredictability, loss of identity Complex PTSD, amygdala hyperreactivity, memory fragmentation VA / DoD Research

It seems like we have been sentenced to trauma

— Eric VanZant, Advocate & Author
Public Health

The Crisis After Release

New England Journal of Medicine

Mortality After Prison Release: Cause-Specific Analysis

Binswanger et al.

Tracking mortality rates among people released from Washington State prisons, this landmark study found that the post-release period is among the most medically dangerous transitions a person can face — with dramatically elevated risk of death from overdose, cardiovascular disease, and homicide.

Key Finding Overdose risk in the first two weeks after release is 129 times higher than in the general population. Suicide rates post-release reach 365 per 100,000 — roughly 10 times the national average.
U.S. Surgeon General's Office

Loneliness and Social Isolation as Public Health Crises

Dr. Vivek Murthy

The former Surgeon General's advisory on loneliness documents the profound health consequences of social disconnection — consequences that are systematically inflicted on incarcerated people and persist for years after release. Social bonds, the report argues, are a biological necessity.

Key Finding Chronic social isolation has health effects equivalent to smoking 15 cigarettes a day. Incarceration systematically produces and perpetuates this condition.
Rat Park / Simon Fraser University

Addiction as Environmental Response, Not Moral Failure

Dr. Bruce Alexander et al.

The landmark Rat Park experiments demonstrated that rats given enriching, social environments consistently chose to avoid addictive substances — even after being made physically dependent. Addiction, the research showed, is primarily a response to psychological deprivation and lack of connection.

Key Finding When environmental conditions improve — when connection, agency, and purpose are restored — addictive behavior declines dramatically, even after physical dependence has been established.
Sentencing Project / BJS

Mental Health in U.S. Prisons: Prevalence and Treatment

Bureau of Justice Statistics

Federal data on mental health conditions among incarcerated people documents staggering rates of untreated mental illness — and near-total absence of therapeutic intervention. The majority of people leaving prison have unaddressed trauma, depression, or anxiety disorders.

Key Finding Over 55% of people in state prisons meet clinical criteria for a mental health condition. Fewer than 25% receive any mental health treatment during incarceration.
Recidivism

Who Returns — and Why

Federal and state data on recidivism rates, broken down by contributing factor.

Population Return Within 1 Year Return Within 3 Years Return Within 5 Years Primary Factor
General Post-Release 44% ~80% 83% Lack of community support, untreated trauma
With Stable Housing 21% 38% 46% Stability reduces recidivism significantly
With Employment 18% 33% 41% Economic agency is protective
With Treatment Programs 15% 29% 35% Trauma/addiction treatment reduces reoffense
Solitary Confinement History 61% 87% 91% Psychological damage accelerates failure to reintegrate
Historical Context

How We Got Here

1865
The 13th Amendment and Convict Leasing
The abolition of slavery included a loophole: "except as punishment for crime." Within months, Southern states began criminalizing Black life to feed a convict leasing system that functioned as slavery by another name — establishing the foundational link between race, criminalization, and forced labor in America.
1865 – 1900s
Black Codes and the Criminalization of Poverty
A cascade of state laws criminalized vagrancy, unemployment, and social behavior associated with Black freedom. The explicit goal was social control and economic extraction — creating the legal infrastructure of mass criminalization that persists in updated form today.
1970s – Present
The War on Drugs and Mass Incarceration
The U.S. prison population grew from roughly 200,000 in 1970 to over 2.3 million today — driven primarily by mandatory minimum sentencing, three-strikes laws, and the criminalization of drug use rather than drug treatment. The United States became the most incarcerated country in the world, incarcerating Black Americans at more than five times the rate of white Americans.
2010 – 2019
Reform Era: First Steps
The First Step Act (2018) and a wave of state-level reforms began to reduce mandatory minimums and expand re-entry programming. Bipartisan consensus emerged — briefly — that the system had failed. Yet structural changes remained limited, and the psychological consequences of mass incarceration received almost no policy attention.
2023
Missing Persons Enters Production
With recidivism rates unchanged and post-release mortality rates rising, director EL Sawyer begins production on a film asking the question that policy has failed to ask: what does incarceration do to the brain — and what would it take to actually bring people home?
Resources

Downloadable Materials

Research Brief

Neuroscience of Incarceration: A Summary

A 12-page overview of the peer-reviewed science informing the film — suitable for advocates, educators, and policymakers.

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Impact Guide

Community Screening Discussion Guide

Facilitation guide for organizations hosting screenings — includes discussion prompts, local resource lists, and action steps.

Download PDF
Data Sheet

Mass Incarceration by the Numbers

One-page data reference covering incarceration rates, recidivism statistics, racial disparities, and post-release mortality.

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Annotated Bibliography

Full Research Bibliography

Complete annotated bibliography of all studies, reports, and primary sources referenced in the film and companion materials.

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Policy Brief

What Works: Evidence-Based Re-Entry Policy

A policy brief synthesizing research on re-entry interventions that demonstrably reduce recidivism and improve public safety outcomes.

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Press Kit

Missing Persons Press Kit

Film synopsis, director biography, high-resolution stills, and production information for media and festival submissions.

Download ZIP
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